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Search resuls for: "Arun Prakash"


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Arun Prakash from Goldman's derivatives research team proposed an options trade focused on the Cboe Volatility Index , or "Vix," to hedge against a market selloff. .VIX 5Y mountain The Cboe Volatility Index has been trading at an unusually low level in 2024 so far. Generally speaking, a call option gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price, and serves as a bet that the asset will rise above the strike price. "Over the past 30+ years, VIX has averaged 19 in April, and we see upside risks to the current low VIX levels given current macro environment and upcoming macro/micro catalysts. If the Vix does not rise above the strike price before the options contract expires, the trader loses the premium paid for the contract.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Arun Prakash, Prakash, hasn't, That's, Goldman, VIX, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Reserve
The recent pullback in crude has made call options on U.S. oil an attractive hedge against continued geopolitical and inflation risks that could push prices higher, according to Goldman Sachs. The investment bank recommends buying a $71 United States Oil ETF call for April 2024 to profit from a jump in prices. Investors would see an estimated return of 90% if WTI hits $88 a barrel by April, according to Goldman. The implied volatility in oil prices rose significantly in October due to the Israel-Hamas war, but option prices have since fallen and are now below the 1-year average. For equity investors, call options on S & P Oil & Gas , Energy Select Sector SPDR , Occidental and ConocoPhillips are the most attractive ahead of the OPEC meeting, according to Goldman.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Arun Prakash Organizations: West Texas, United States Oil, . Oil Fund ETF, P Oil & Gas, Energy, ConocoPhillips Locations: Israel, Occidental
Goldman Sachs expects the stock market is about to get even bumpier from here — and recommends ways for investors to capitalize on the turbulence. "We expect volatility to increase over next few weeks," John Marshall, head of derivatives research at the firm, wrote Monday. While the CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, a popular measure of volatility, is down about 35% in 2023, the Wall Street firm expects that a deteriorating macroeconomic backdrop and seasonal volatility will drive it up. The CBOE Volatility Index was last hovering around 14. "Buy CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) Oct monthly expiry $15 calls to hedge potential rise in volatility," the firm's Arun Prakash wrote in a Thursday note.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Marshall, Marshall, Arun Prakash, Prakash, CNBC's Michael Bloom
It's time for investors to hedge their bets on tech stocks after a dramatic rally through the first half of the year, according to Goldman Sachs. Arun Prakash from Goldman's derivatives research team said in a note to clients on Tuesday that tech stocks look wobbly and could be due for a pullback. "Our analysis suggests that S & P Technology stocks have become unusually crowded relative to macro assets, and we see increased risk of downside asymmetry. Put options give the holder the right to sell an asset at a pre-determined strike price, and a put option is out of the money when the strike price is below the asset's current market price. The fund does not hold some of the other Big Tech names, including Meta Platforms and Alphabet .
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Arun Prakash, Goldman's, Goldman, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: P Technology, Technology, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Big Tech, Meta
Goldman Sachs says 2023 should be a decent year for stocks even if there's a recession. The firm's investment strategy group discussed its multi-asset views this week. The simultaneous nosedive in stocks and bonds last year doesn't debunk the theory behind the traditional 60-40 portfolio, according to Goldman Sachs. But Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, the head of the Investment Strategy Group (ISG) at Goldman Sachs, says that it's not that unusual for stocks and bonds to move in the same direction. In fact, he noted that if a recession begins and ends in 2023, stocks may not have a bad year.
As markets weather volatility, the investment bank recommends options trades with these 4 stocks. In a recent note to clients, Goldman Sachs breaks down this options trading strategy that the investment bank says has an 18-year track record of adding extra income to investors' pockets. Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research"These strategies have become increasingly popular among investors, especially given the prospects of flat to negative equity markets. For short-term overwriting options trades, the note focuses on three factors when choosing an "attractive" stock: events, implied volatility, and market cap of the company. "We have found that overwriting stocks with these characteristics has added over 500 bps over the past 16 years," the note said.
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